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Insight / Conflict & fragility

Three indexes, and Myanmar is the pole

Keep off governance and climate pages. MMR pole: WGI PS −2.09, FSI 100.0 (rank 11), GPI 3.045 (rank 153), major_active. Among MY/TH/VN/ID peers, PH softest: WGI −0.77, FSI 75.1, GPI 2.148, subnational. SG ceiling (GPI 1.357 / FSI 25.4 / WGI 1.23); BN no GPI 2025.

2024

Political stability

The WGI perception estimate remains on its own scale.

WGI political stability

2024
EconomyValueVintage
Brunei1.20272024
Cambodia0.12842024
Indonesia-0.60912024
Laos0.55772024
Malaysia0.38482024
Myanmar-2.09042024
Philippines-0.77412024
Singaporeceiling1.23192024
Thailand-0.68332024
Vietnam0.00572024
Timor-Leste0.5262024

World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators GOV_WGI_PV.EST

2024

Fragility

FSI score, rank, and band retain their orientation.

Fragile States Index score

2024
EconomyValueVintage
Brunei53.92024
Cambodia78.62024
Indonesia63.72024
Laos73.82024
Malaysia53.12024
Myanmar100.02024
Philippines75.12024
Singaporeceiling25.42024
Thailand66.22024
Vietnam56.22024
Timor-Leste74.82024

Fund for Peace Fragile States Index Annual Report 2024

Fragile States Index rank

2024
EconomyValueVintage
Brunei1232024
Cambodia552024
Indonesia1022024
Laos712024
Malaysia1262024
Myanmar112024
Philippines642024
Singaporeceiling1652024
Thailand952024
Vietnam1192024
Timor-Leste672024

Fund for Peace Fragile States Index Annual Report 2024

Fragile States Index band

2024
EconomyValueVintage
BruneiStable2024
CambodiaElevated Warning2024
IndonesiaWarning2024
LaosElevated Warning2024
MalaysiaStable2024
MyanmarAlert2024
PhilippinesElevated Warning2024
SingaporeceilingSustainable2024
ThailandWarning2024
VietnamStable2024
Timor-LesteElevated Warning2024

Fund for Peace Fragile States Index Annual Report 2024

2025

Peacefulness

GPI score and rank are not treated as state fragility.

Global Peace Index score

2025
EconomyValueVintage
BruneiGAP2025
Cambodia2.0192025
Indonesia1.7862025
Laos1.7832025
Malaysia1.4692025
Myanmar3.0452025
Philippines2.1482025
Singaporeceiling1.3572025
Thailand2.0172025
Vietnam1.7212025
Timor-Leste1.7582025

Institute for Economics & Peace Global Peace Index 2025

Global Peace Index rank

2025
EconomyValueVintage
BruneiGAP2025
Cambodia872025
Indonesia492025
Laos472025
Malaysia132025
Myanmar1532025
Philippines1052025
Singaporeceiling62025
Thailand862025
Vietnam382025
Timor-Leste442025

Institute for Economics & Peace Global Peace Index 2025

2025

Conflict classification

A transparent categorical label, not a continuous score.

Conflict flag

2025
EconomyValueVintage
Bruneilow_or_none2025
Cambodialow_or_none2025
Indonesiasubnational2025
Laoslow_or_none2025
Malaysialow_or_none2025
Myanmarmajor_active2025
Philippinessubnational2025
Singaporeceilinglow_or_none2025
Thailandsubnational2025
Vietnamlow_or_none2025
Timor-Lestelow_or_none2025

Derived conflict_flag (transparent rules; GPI 2025 dyads + FSI/GPI extremity for MMR)

2024

Event-data gap

Unverified event and fatality totals remain visibly empty.

ACLED events

2024
EconomyValueVintage
BruneiGAP2024
CambodiaGAP2024
IndonesiaGAP2024
LaosGAP2024
MalaysiaGAP2024
MyanmarGAP2024
PhilippinesGAP2024
SingaporeceilingGAP2024
ThailandGAP2024
VietnamGAP2024
Timor-LesteGAP2024

ACLED (not locked)

ACLED fatalities

2024
EconomyValueVintage
BruneiGAP2024
CambodiaGAP2024
IndonesiaGAP2024
LaosGAP2024
MalaysiaGAP2024
MyanmarGAP2024
PhilippinesGAP2024
SingaporeceilingGAP2024
ThailandGAP2024
VietnamGAP2024
Timor-LesteGAP2024

ACLED (not locked)

Every frame preserves its own unit and vintage. Empty cells are shown as GAP, never zero.

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ASEAN in Data (2026). Conflict & fragility. /insights/conflict-fragility

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